“I would agree that Brokeback is a lock to win. However, Oscar is
notorious for its backlash. Brokeback is peaking too soon (Remember
Saving Private Ryan) and a traditionally conservative academy could
award something else. I’m sensing a ground-swell for Crash. Those raves
are coming. Remember it was an early release so it needs to be
refreshed in the memories of people.”

I wrote that almost two months ago. I just wish I had been bold enough to stick with that prediction last week. Instead, this is what I said:

“I am holding out hopes that Crash plays the Shakespeare in Love role to Brokeback’s Schindler’s List (sic). Five years from now, when we are out from under the news-worthiness of Brokeback there will be no debate that Crash is the superior film. I saw it months ago and it still resonates with me. This could be the biggest shocker of the night.”

Instead I hedged my bets and went against my gut. But I can truly say that Oscar got it right. Crash is hands down the pic of the year.

The only disappointment for me was Dolly Parton losing. That was a crime.

The only one I missed was Best Supporting Actress. Not a bad night.

Jon Stewart stumbled a little at the beginning but quickly caught his stride. His brand of intelligent and incisive humor was pitch-perfect in an otherwise paint-by-numbers night.